Viendo archivo del martes, 31 mayo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 May 31 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 151 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 May 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 770 (N12W27), a
seemingly simple spot group, had the one C-class flare of the day.
It produced a C2/Sf at 1442UTC with associated type II sweep. It has
been quiet since that event. One new region, Region 772 (S18E50) was
numbered, making a total of five spotted regions visible.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to persist
at the low level.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active. Yesterday's storm
conditions have passed and the field has returned to more normal
conditions. Energetic electrons at geosynchronous orbit attained
high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be generally unsettled. There is a slight chance of a
small disturbance later in the period from a possible CME associated
with the C2/Sf with type II that occurred today.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jun a 03 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 May 096 Previsto 01 Jun-03 Jun 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 31 May 092
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 May 032/067 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 May 015/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jun-03 Jun 010/015-010/012-010/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jun a 03 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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