Viendo archivo del domingo, 10 abril 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Apr 10 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Apr 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted
of occasional B-class flares. Most of these were from Region 751
(S07W84). However, SXI images indicate a small, bright active region
on the east limb at N01 which was the source for a B8 event at 1814
UTC.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class event during
the next 3 days (11-13 April).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet until sometime late on 11 April when conditions
are expected to increase to mostly active levels due to a coronal
hole. Active conditions from the coronal hole are expected to
continue for 12-13 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Apr 088 Previsto 11 Apr-13 Apr 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 10 Apr 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Apr 002/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Apr-13 Apr 010/015-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Apr a 13 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 20% |
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