Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 abril 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Apr 09 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Apr 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 751 (S07W74)
produced several B-class flares during the period. This region has
grown in both sunspot count and white light area coverage and is now
a Dai beta spot group. The SOHO/LASCO imagery observed two CME's
today off the SW limb. The first was around 09/0826 UTC and the
second was at 09/1350 UTC. Both appear to be from a backside event.
No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. The greater than
2 MeV flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled for 10-12 April.
Periods of active conditions are possible on 11-12 April due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Apr 088 Previsto 10 Apr-12 Apr 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 09 Apr 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Apr 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr 008/010-010/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Apr a 12 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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