Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 13 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 072 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Regions 741 (N12W57) and
742 (S05W12) both produced minor C-class flares during the period.
Region 742 continues to grow and was observed at 340 millionths in
white light. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled all three days. Active conditions
are possible 14-15 March from the minor effects of a small
geoeffective coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Mar 114 Previsto 14 Mar-16 Mar 115/115/110 Media de 90 Días 13 Mar 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Mar 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Mar 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Mar-16 Mar 010/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Mar a 16 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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