Viendo archivo del miércoles, 16 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 16 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 075 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 742 (S06W50)
remains the most complex group on the sun, but has produced only
B-class x-ray events. SXI imagery shows an active region just
behind the southeast limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for C-class flares from Region 742.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
Geomagnetic activity has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for active on 17 March
due to a favorably positioned coronal hole. Predominantly unsettled
is expected on 18 March, with a return to quiet to unsettled
expected on 19 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Mar a 19 Mar
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Mar 105 Previsto 17 Mar-19 Mar 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 16 Mar 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Mar 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Mar 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Mar-19 Mar 012/015-010/012-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Mar a 19 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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