Viendo archivo del sábado, 5 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 05 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 064 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels today. Region
741 (N12E57) produced a C1 x-ray flare that occurred at 05/2007Z.
No significant changes in magnetic complexity or sunspot area were
observed during the period. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels throughout the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels during the
period. A recurrent high speed coronal hole stream is expected to
become geoeffective beginning on 6 March. The coronal hole effects
are expected to last for several days. Periods of isolated minor
storm conditions are possible on 7 March. Predominantly unsettled
to active conditions are expected on 8 March.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Mar 081 Previsto 06 Mar-08 Mar 085/090/095 Media de 90 Días 05 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Mar 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 012/015-020/025-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 10% |
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