Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 marzo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 06 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 065 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Mar 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Region
741 (N12E44) produced several low level B-class flares during the
period. A slight decay in sunspot area was observed today. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels. A
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream became geoeffective early
in the period. Solar wind speeds increased from 380 km/s to near
650 km/s by the end of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled to active levels due to
coronal hole effects. Isolated minor storm conditions are likely to
occur through tomorrow (7 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Mar a 09 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Mar 084 Previsto 07 Mar-09 Mar 085/090/095 Media de 90 Días 06 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Mar 008/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Mar 023/035 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 020/025-015/020-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Mar a 09 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
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