Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 052 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 735
(S09W71) was limited to minor B-class flares today. This region
underwent little change and retains the beta-gamma magnetic
classification. Region 736 (N13W63) showed an increase in penumbral
coverage over the past 24 hours and produced several minor B-class
flares. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Both Region 735 and 736 have the potential
of producing isolated C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. High latitudes may
experience isolated active conditions with the influence of a
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream beginning late on 23
February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Feb 095 Previsto 22 Feb-24 Feb 095/090/085 Media de 90 Días 21 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 006/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb 007/010-007/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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