Viendo archivo del martes, 22 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 053 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels today. Region
735 (S09W85) underwent little noticeable change during the period
and has begun to exit the solar western limb. Region 736 (N13W77)
appears to have had a growth in sunspot area today as it also begins
to exit the visible disk. B-class flare activity was observed from
both of these regions today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels throughout the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels today. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through 23 February. A
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream should become geoeffective
on 24 February. Active conditions are possible on 24 and 25
February due to the coronal hole influences.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Feb 092 Previsto 23 Feb-25 Feb 090/085/085 Media de 90 Días 22 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 004/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Feb-25 Feb 004/012-008/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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