Viendo archivo del martes, 29 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 181 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Several B-class flares
occurred in Region 639 (N13E46). Some minor magnetic mixing is
evident in this growing region. No significant changes were observed
in the remaining active regions.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a small chance for a C-class flare from
Region 639.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active. The disturbed periods
are due to a coronal hole high speed stream that began yesterday and
peaked at near 600 km/s midway through the period. The IMF Bz
component was mostly northward, but switched southward towards the
end of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with occasional active
periods. The current weak disturbance is expected to subside by 1
July.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jun 085 Previsto 30 Jun-02 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 29 Jun 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 011/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 018/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul 012/020-010/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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