Viendo archivo del miércoles, 30 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 182 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. A single C1/Sf flare occurred
in Region 640 (S07E41) at 30/1439Z. Region 640 is a small simple
beta group in decay. Occasional B-class flares occurred in Region
639 (N13E46). This region also exhibited some decay this period. A
long duration B-class x-ray enhancement was associated with plage
brightenings near an active dark filament at S06W06.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to very low. An isolated C-class flare is possible from Regions 639
and 640.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods. A coronal hole high speed stream that began on 28 June is
responsible for this weak disturbance. Solar wind speed ranged from
520 to 580 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
active periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jun 082 Previsto 01 Jul-03 Jul 080/080/085 Media de 90 Días 30 Jun 098
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 015/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 012/015-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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