Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 635 (S10, L=052)
produced several low C-class flares as it rotated around the west
limb. A CME, visible on the west limb at 28/0124Z, was likely
associated with one of several flares from this region. The
remaining active regions showed no significant changes.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to very low. An isolated C-class flare is possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
levels. Occasional periods of southward Bz resulted in the active
conditions. Solar wind measurements indicated a transition into a
weak coronal hole high speed stream late in the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
active periods. A weak high speed stream is expected to produce
minor disturbed periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Jun a 01 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Jun 089 Previsto 29 Jun-01 Jul 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 28 Jun 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 010/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul 010/012-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Jun a 01 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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