Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 abril 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Apr 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 105 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Apr 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 591
(S16W25) produced multiple low level B-class flares today. This
reversed polarity region increased its sunspot area and has become a
beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. A delta structure is
evident in the dominant lead polarity spot. LASCO imagery indicated
that there was CME activity during the period which appears to have
all been backsided. Regions 593 (S20E43) and 594 (N15E69) were both
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Region 591 has the potential of producing
C-class flare activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Apr a 17 Apr
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Apr 095 Previsto 15 Apr-17 Apr 095/100/100 Media de 90 Días 14 Apr 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Apr 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Apr 004/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Apr-17 Apr 004/010-005/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Apr a 17 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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