Viendo archivo del martes, 13 abril 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Apr 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 104 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Apr 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. A single
B-class flare occurred at 13/0532Z on the northeast limb. There was
no other significant activity observed today. Region 588 (S13W80)
has shown decreasing area coverage and has simplified in magnetic
complexity to an alpha configuration. New Region 592 (S12E59) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a chance of low level activity. Increased
emissions on the east limb were observed in NOAA SXI imagery and
suggests returning regions over the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Apr a 16 Apr
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Apr 093 Previsto 14 Apr-16 Apr 095/100/100 Media de 90 Días 13 Apr 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Apr 007/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Apr 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Apr-16 Apr 008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Apr a 16 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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