Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 abril 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Apr 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 588 (S16W13) produced a
C7/Sf flare at 08/1019Z. This event had an associated tenflare (190
sfu) and a full halo CME on LASCO imagery. No significant changes
were observed in Region 588, which maintains a reverse polarity
beta magnetic configuration. Coronal mass ejections were also
observed to originate from behind the northwest limb. The first of
these CMEs occurred at 08/0148Z and had an associated Type II radio
sweep (709 km/s). A long duration x-ray enhancement accompanied the
second CME at around 08/1900Z. No other significant changes or
activity were observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. Region 588 is expected to produce occasional C-class
activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to active with isolated minor
storm periods during local nighttime hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storming. There has been no
obvious transient passage at ACE yet from the full halo CME observed
on LASCO imagery on 6 April. Occasional minor storm periods are
expected in the next 24 hours from this CME. Another full halo CME
was observed today and is expected to produce active to minor storm
periods on 11 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 094 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 022/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 020/030-015/020-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 20% |
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