Viendo archivo del martes, 9 marzo 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Mar 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 069 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Mar 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 570 (S14E34) has
produced numerous B- and C-class flares, including a C1.3/Sf at
09/0648 UTC. No significant development was observed from regions
on the visible disk, and no new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 570 may produce C- and isolated M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels.
Increased activity is most likely due to the effects of a
co-rotating interaction region interacting with Earth's magnetic
field. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active, with occassional minor storm
conditions from the effects of high speed solar wind as a coronal
hole moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Mar 109 Previsto 10 Mar-12 Mar 110/110/105 Media de 90 Días 09 Mar 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 002/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Mar 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar 015/020-015/020-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Mar a 12 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
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