Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 diciembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Dec 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 360 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Dec 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity increased to moderate levels today.
Region 528 (N10W31) produced an impulsive M1/1n flare at 26/1928Z
along with multiple lesser C-class flares that were observed
throughout the period. This region underwent little change today.
The beta-gamma magnetic complex remains intact. Region 532 (S11W11)
slightly increased in magnetic complexity and areal spot coverage
today. A minor B-class flare occurred in this region early in the
period. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Region 528 continues to exhibit the
potential for producing low level M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels with isolated unsettled
conditions possible throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Dec 137 Previsto 27 Dec-29 Dec 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 26 Dec 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Dec 006/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Dec-29 Dec 008/010-010/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Dec a 29 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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