Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 diciembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Dec 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 361 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Dec 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels today.
Region 528 (N10W44) underwent little change today and was quiescent
throughout the period. No significant activity was reported from
the active regions today. No new regions were numbered this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 528 remains capable of producing minor M-class
flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Updated
SOHO/LASCO imagery depicted a weak partial halo CME that was
believed to be from the long duration C5/Sf flare from 25 December.
A weak transient was observed passing the ACE spacecraft at
approximately 27/0900Z resulting in unsettled conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels with isolated unsettled
conditions possible throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Dec a 30 Dec
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Dec 127 Previsto 28 Dec-30 Dec 130/130/125 Media de 90 Días 27 Dec 136
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Dec 007/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Dec 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Dec-30 Dec 010/012-008/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Dec a 30 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 4 mayo 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 8AR3663 131CME 2024-MAY-01 south of AR3654 C5.8 6Unproven theories 382Latest SC25 Predictions 111
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/05 | X1.2 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/05 | M8.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/02 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 153.8 +59.7 |