Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 mayo 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 May 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 132 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 May 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Regions 358 (N10E23)
and 359 (S16W18) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. The newly numbered regions pose little threat of significant
activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels due
to a continued high speed solar wind stream. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous altitude reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to major storm levels for the next two
days. A significant coronal hole has moved into geoeffective
position, and promises to be a threat for at least 36 hours. Levels
should fall off to unsettled to minor storm by the third day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 May a 15 May
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 May 094 Previsto 13 May-15 May 100/100/105 Media de 90 Días 12 May 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 May 022/031 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 May 022/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 May-15 May 030/030-030/030-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 May a 15 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 15% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 951AR3654 22Changelog/Featurelog 154What are these long and thin eruptions? 9IMF - BT strength 8
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/27 | M3.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/26 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 138.1 +30.7 |