Viendo archivo del martes, 26 noviembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Nov 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 330 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Nov 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Events were limited to
small C-class flares observed through the period. A new region was
numbered today as Region 203 (N08E71).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
low. Occasional C-class events continue to be possible from Region
197 (N24W84) and 198 (S18W61). A chance for an isolated M-class
event is also possible from Region 198.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosychronous orbit reached high
levels today. The observed Afr for 25 Nov is estimated due to
missing data.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Isolated active to
minor storm conditions are possible for 27 Nov as a result of the
activity associated with the CME observed on 24 Nov.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Nov a 29 Nov
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Nov 142 Previsto 27 Nov-29 Nov 145/150/155 Media de 90 Días 26 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Nov 014/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov 015/020-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Nov a 29 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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