Viendo archivo del martes, 25 diciembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Dec 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 359 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Dec 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 9754 (S09E38) was
the most active area producing two M1 flares this past day. This
sunspot group is a growing E-type region developing increased
magnetic complexity. Region 9742 (N12W57) remains the largest
sunspot group on the disk with area in excess of 1000 millionths.
However this region does not appear to have significant magnetic
complexity and has not produced major activity. New Region 9755
(S05E64) rotated onto the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. M-class flares are possible in Regions 9742, 9748, and
9754.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The high-speed coronal
hole stream apparent yesterday has passed and solar wind parameters
have returned to nominal values.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Dec a 28 Dec
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Dec 259 Previsto 26 Dec-28 Dec 260/260/255 Media de 90 Días 25 Dec 217
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 013/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Dec-28 Dec 010/010-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Dec a 28 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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