Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was moderate due to an M1/1F flare at
07/1538 UTC in Region 9601 (N13W64). This flare was associated with
type II/IV radio sweeps and minor discrete bursts across the
spectrum. Region 9608 (S26E45) also generated a number of smaller
flares. These areas remain the largest and most complex groups on
the sun and have exhibited frequent small flares and plage
fluctuations. Region 9610 (S13E60) has rotated fully into view as an
E-type sunspot group of about 300 millionths in area. New Regions
9611 (N10W23), 9612 (N22E40), and 9613 (S17W52) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. M-class flares, as well as an isolated major
flare, are possible in Regions 9601 and 9608. Region 9610 appears
capable of a low-level M-class flare as well.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Sep 226 Previsto 08 Sep-10 Sep 230/230/230 Media de 90 Días 07 Sep 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 003/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 005/008-005/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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