Viendo archivo del miércoles, 7 marzo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 07 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 066 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Mar 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been low, though there has been a modest increase in flare activity. The largest event of the day was a C7/Sf from Region 9368 (N25W20) at 07/1927 UTC, and was in progress at the time of today's 10cm flux observation. As a result, the 10cm flux was moderately enhanced by perhaps 10 sfu. A long duration event also occurred today, a C5/Sf from Region 9371 (N21W79) at 07/1502 UTC. Regions 9368 and 9371 exhibited further growth in areal coverage, and produced several lesser C-Class flares, as did Regions 9165 (S10W62) and 9170 (N09E00).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. The greatest chance for isolated M-class activity exists for Region 9368, and for Region 9371 as it rotates beyond the west limb within the next 24 hours.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled, with one isolated active period observed at Boulder during 08/1200-1500 UTC. The greater-than-2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled for the next three days, barring an earth-directed CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Mar a 10 Mar
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Mar 177
  Previsto   08 Mar-10 Mar  165/165/165
  Media de 90 Días        07 Mar 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Mar  004/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Mar  007/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar  007/008-005/007-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Mar a 10 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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