Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 067 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was high, due to the occurrence of an
impulsive M5/1b flare from Region 9368 (N26W33) at 08/1118 UTC. A
Type-II radio sweep and CME were also observed in association with
this event. Region 9368 has exhibited a further increase in size,
spot count, and magnetic complexity, and is the largest active
region on the visible disk. Other activity of note today included a
C5/Sf flare from Region 9370 (N10W12) and a general elevation in
background x-ray flux, with optically uncorrelated long duration
enhancements.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9368, 9370, and 9371 (N22W86) are all possible
sources of isolated M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity has been quiet to unsettled, and
greater-than-2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
moderate levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the next two days.
The CME activity noted in section 1A above, while not appearing
primarily earth-directed, could be a source of isolated active
conditions by day three.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Mar a 11 Mar
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Mar 167 Previsto 09 Mar-11 Mar 170/170/165 Media de 90 Días 08 Mar 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Mar 009/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Mar 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 005/007-005/007-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Mar a 11 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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