Viendo archivo del martes, 6 marzo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 065 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Mar 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. The largest event of the day was an optically uncorrelated C6 flare at 06/1013 UTC. SOHO/LASCO data suggest an association with the most energetic phase of a CME observed off the west limb, though not appearing earth-directed. Several lesser C-class events occurred throughout the day, with three observed from Region 9368 (N25W08), which underwent some growth in spot count and areal coverage, but without significant change in magnetic complexity. Region 9371 (N20W64) exhibited similar growth, but produced only two subfaint optical flares without notable x-ray enhancements. Region 9370 showed some increase in size and complexity, but has remained quiet so far, along with the other numbered regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low for the next three days, though a chance for isolated moderate (weak M-class) activity exists principally for Region 9368.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed remains somewhat elevated, but recent effects from a coronal hole high speed stream appear to have waned over the course of the day.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated active conditions possible for the next 24 hours, until coronal hole effects have completely subsided. Mainly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected thereafter for the remainder of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Mar a 09 Mar
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Mar 158
  Previsto   07 Mar-09 Mar  162/165/165
  Media de 90 Días        06 Mar 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Mar  019/018
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Mar  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar  008/008-007/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Mar a 09 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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