Viendo archivo del domingo, 4 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 063 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity remained low. Isolated B- and C-class
X-ray flares occurred. Minor growth was observed in Regions 9366
(S25E13), 9368 (N26E20), and 9369 (N17W62); but all were small and
simply-structured. The remaining regions were small and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for an isolated, low-level M-class
flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly unsettled levels with an
isolated active period during 04/1500 - 1800 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during most of the
period. Brief active conditions will be possible during the first
two days due to weak coronal hole effects. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit may reach high levels during
the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Mar a 07 Mar
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Mar 141 Previsto 05 Mar-07 Mar 135/135/135 Media de 90 Días 04 Mar 161
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Mar 014/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 015/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar 010/012-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Mar a 07 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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