Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 febrero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 036 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Feb 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9335 (N08E40) produced a
C8/1F at 05/1520Z. Minor centimetric radio bursts and a Type II
sweep accompanied this flare. Minor C-class flares were also
observed in Regions 9327 (N19W73) and 9334 (N12E27). Moderate growth
in the size and complexity of Region 9339 (S11E62) was also noted.
New Region 9340 (S13E05) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. There is a chance for an isolated M flare in Regions
9334 and 9339.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, as effects from a high speed
coronal hole stream are expected early in the three day period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Feb a 08 Feb
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Feb 165 Previsto 06 Feb-08 Feb 168/170/175 Media de 90 Días 05 Feb 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Feb 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb 010/007-007/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Feb a 08 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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