Viendo archivo del domingo, 4 febrero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 035 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Feb 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. Minor C-class flares were
observed from Regions 9330 (N25E04), 9334 (N11E41), and from new
regions near the SE limb. Regions 9330 and 9334 are the most complex
regions on the visible disk and exhibited frequent brightenings,
however, no significant changes were observed in white light. New
Regions 9338 (S18E59) and 9339 (S12E74) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. An isolated M class flare is possible from Region
9330 or 9334.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at low levels through day one. Unsettled
conditions are expected on days two and three as a coronal hole
moves into a geoeffectively favorable position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Feb a 07 Feb
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Feb 158 Previsto 05 Feb-07 Feb 165/170/175 Media de 90 Días 04 Feb 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Feb 000/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Feb 002/001 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb 005/005-010/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Feb a 07 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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