Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 360 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9283 (S12E39)
produced two events of equal magnitude, C5/Sf, representing the
greatest activity for the period. The first was in progress at the
beginning of the period, peaking at 24/2101 UTC, and the second
occurred at 25/1600 UTC. Other activity included several lesser
C-class flares from Region 9283, and a C2/Sf from Region 9280
(N09W04). Optical reports of filament disruptions near S36W45 and
N30W60 were received (at 25/0432 and 25/1213 UTC, respectively), and
while no correlated SOHO/LASCO observations are available at
present, a lack of corresponding radio activity suggests no
significant associated CMEs. New Region 9287 (S16E60) was numbered
today. Also of note - a partial solar eclipse occurred over most of
North America today, from 25/1615 to 1815 UTC, with only minor
impacts on solar optical and radio observation sites.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9280 and 9283 are the most likely sources for
isolated M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Dec a 28 Dec
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Dec 187 Previsto 26 Dec-28 Dec 190/190/185 Media de 90 Días 25 Dec 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Dec 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Dec 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Dec-28 Dec 010/010-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Dec a 28 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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