Viendo archivo del martes, 12 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 347 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was moderate, by virtue of a single
M1/1f flare originating from Region 9267 (N07E26) at 12/1507Z.
Other activity included only a few minor C-class events.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mostly low, with a continued probability for isolated minor M-class
events from Region 9267. Old active regions due to return in the
next two days could provide additional increased activity based on
their previous rotations.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet, with a single period of
unsettled conditions recorded at Boulder during the interval
12/1500-1800Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Dec a 15 Dec
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Dec 150 Previsto 13 Dec-15 Dec 150/150/160 Media de 90 Días 12 Dec 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Dec 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Dec 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Dec-15 Dec 005/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Dec a 15 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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