Viendo archivo del lunes, 11 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 346 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low, only small C class flares were
observed. Two new regions were numbered, Region 9266 (N24W11) and
Region 9267 (N08E40). Region 9267 is growing and was the source of
at least one of the C class flares; others were not correlated to
any observed flare activity. Late on 10 December, CME's, apparently
from the area north of Region 9262 (N14E32) and along the filament
channel near N45 E40, were observed by the SOHO instruments.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
early in the period. Activity should slowly increase as old active
regions return to the East limb over the next few days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The >2MeV electrons
fluxes at geosynchronous altitudes are elevated, reaching moderate
(>10E3pfu) levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Dec a 14 Dec
| Clase M | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Dec 144 Previsto 12 Dec-14 Dec 148/150/160 Media de 90 Días 11 Dec 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Dec 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Dec 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Dec-14 Dec 005/010-005/010-005/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Dec a 14 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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