Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 348 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was low, with only minor C-class events
observed during the past 24 hours. The largest flare, a C4/Sf at
13/0823Z, originated from Region 9267, a growing region (currently a
23-spot DAI Beta) that generated yesterday's M1/1F event. Three new
regions were numbered today: 9268 (S17E74), 9269 (N14E63) and 9270
(S11E10).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
with the continued probability for isolated M-class events,
primarily from Region 9267.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet, with a single period of
unsettled conditions recorded at Boulder during the interval
13/0000-0300Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes at
geosynchronous altitudes continue to fluctuate between low and
moderate levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three
days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Dec a 16 Dec
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Dec 165 Previsto 14 Dec-16 Dec 170/170/175 Media de 90 Días 13 Dec 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Dec 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Dec 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Dec-16 Dec 005/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Dec a 16 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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