Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 308 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only several minor C-class
events were observed during the period from Regions 9210 (S27W30)
and 9212 (N09W08). Slight growth occurred in Regions 9212 and 9218
(N19E12). No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to increase during the first day of the period to active
conditions, due to the arrival of the full halo CME observed on 1
November. Minor to major storm levels are possible in the higher
latitudes. Active conditions are expected to decrease by late on
the second day and become predominantly quiet to unsettled by the
end of the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Nov a 06 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Nov 199 Previsto 04 Nov-06 Nov 200/195/190 Media de 90 Días 03 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Nov 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 020/020-015/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Nov a 06 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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