Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 junio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jun 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 JUN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST X-RAY EVENT THIS
PERIOD WAS A C6 FLARE, OBSERVED ON EIT IMAGERY NEAR THE SW LIMB AT
28/1219Z. A PROMINENCE ERUPTED ON THE NW LIMB NEAR NORTH 20,
RESULTING IN A LARGE CME WITH TYPE II SWEEP (SHOCK SPEED 536 KM/S)
AND A RATHER LONG DURATION C3 X-RAY BURST. BRIGHT SURGING WAS
EVIDENT ON THE NW LIMB SEVERAL HOURS PRIOR TO THIS ERUPTION.
REMAINING REGIONS WERE RELATIVELY QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. MOSTLY LOW LEVEL C-CLASS FLARES ARE LIKELY WITH AN
ISOLATED CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. WEAK CORONAL HOLE EFFECTS
CONTINUED TODAY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE
PERIODS AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 JUN a 01 JUL
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 JUN 175 Previsto 29 JUN-01 JUL 175/175/180 Media de 90 Días 28 JUN 184
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 JUN 014/018 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 JUN 008/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 JUN-01 JUL 010/010-010/010-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 JUN a 01 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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