Viendo archivo del domingo, 28 mayo 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 149 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 MAY 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT WAS A C8 X-RAY BURST AT 28/1018UT AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN H-ALPHA LIMB EVENT (SURGE/SPRAY) NEAR NW 23. THIS EVENT MOST LIKELY OCCURRED IN RECENTLY DEPARTED REGION 9002. REGION 9017 (S13E29) REMAINS THE MOST COMPLEX SUNSPOT GROUP CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK. THIS AREA HAS YET TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY. NEW REGIONS 9021 (N03E18) AND 9022 (S21E67) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. C-CLASS FLARES ARE PROBABLE AND AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE. REGION 9017 IS THE MOST LIKELY SOURCE OF ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. INCREASED ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE DUE TO FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 MAY a 31 MAY
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 MAY 156
  Previsto   29 MAY-31 MAY  150/145/140
  Media de 90 Días        28 MAY 194
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 MAY  008/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 MAY  012/013
PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 MAY-31 MAY  012/025-015/018-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 MAY a 31 MAY
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa02%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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