Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 mayo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 148 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 MAY 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A FEW SMALL C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED. THE MOST ACTIVE SUNSPOT GROUPS WERE REGIONS 9017 (S13E42)
AND 9018 (S21W24). BOTH GROUPS HAVE GROWN BUT NEITHER HAS PRODUCED
SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY. NEW REGION 9020 (N03E06) EMERGED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE REMAINS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE FIRST DAY OR SO OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY THE
THIRD DAY DUE TO CORONAL HOLE EFFECTS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 MAY a 30 MAY
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 MAY 162 Previsto 28 MAY-30 MAY 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 27 MAY 195
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 MAY 019/023 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 MAY 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 MAY-30 MAY 010/015-012/025-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 MAY a 30 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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