Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 mayo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 MAY 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THERE WERE NUMEROUS C-CLASS
X-RAY FLARES THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD; THE LARGEST WAS A C7 OPTICALLY
CORRELATED TO REGION 8545 (N37W85). BEGINNING AT 27/0917Z EIT
IMAGERY SHOWED A SERIES OF SYMPATHETIC FLARES BETWEEN REGIONS 8551
(N32W14) AND 8554 (N26E11). THESE FLARES PRODUCED A NUMBER OF RADIO
EVENTS INCLUDING TYPE II AND IV RADIO SWEEPS AS WELL AS A 16000 SFU
TENFLARE. A CORRESPONDING HALO CME WAS SEEN ON LASCO C3 AT
27/1338Z. REGION 8552 (N20E25) REMAINS THE LARGEST AND MOST COMPLEX
REGION ON THE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
WITH A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED MODERATE ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO UNSETTLED. A ENERGETIC
PROTON ENHANCEMENT BEGAN AT APPROXIMATELY 27/1130Z, BUT DID NOT
REACH THRESHOLD LEVELS. AFTER PEAKING AT APPROXIMATELY 27/1230Z THE
PROTONS STEADILY DECREASED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
DURING DAY ONE THE GEOMAGNETIC
FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. BRIEF PERIODS OF
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF A
RECURRENT CORONAL HOLE. BY DAY TWO THE IMPACT OF A CME IS EXPECTED
TO BRING UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 MAY a 30 MAY
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 MAY 155 Previsto 28 MAY-30 MAY 155/165/165 Media de 90 Días 27 MAY 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 MAY 007/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 MAY 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 MAY-30 MAY 010/012-020/025-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 MAY a 30 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 60% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Strongest geomagnetic storm since 2003, X5.8 solar flare
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Extreme G5 geomagnetic storm
viernes, 10 mayo 2024
Severe G4 geomagnetic storm
Últimos mensajes del foro
Geomagnetic storming, CMEs from AR 13664, 2024-05-09/10 1271Traffic record broken!(?) Updated! 10Where will Aurorae be visible on May 11th after the G5 storm? 4Aurora movement 4AR3664 812
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/11 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/11 | M8.7 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/10 | Kp9 (G5) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 139.8 +3.3 |
| Last 30 days | 170.5 +79.6 |