Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 mayo 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 146 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 MAY 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. THERE WERE A LARGE NUMBER OF WEAK C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES, TWO OF WHICH WERE LONG DURATION EVENTS. THE FIRST LDE WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C1 AT 25/2137Z, THE SECOND A C2/SF FROM REGION 8550 (S14W12) AT 26/0522Z. IN ADDITION THERE WAS A TYPE II RADIO SWEEP (SPEED 650 KM/S) CORRELATED TO A C2/SF FROM REGION 8554 (N26E26) AT 26/0230Z. FINALLY, THE STRONGEST FLARE WAS AN M1/2N FLARE FROM REGION 8552 (N11E41) AT 26/1932Z. ONE REGION, 8555 (N16E75), WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW WITH A CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH A CHANCE FOR ACTIVE CONDITIONS LATE TOMORROW. THE INFLUENCE OF A RECURRENT CORONAL HOLE IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 MAY a 29 MAY
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 MAY 153
  Previsto   27 MAY-29 MAY  150/155/160
  Media de 90 Días        26 MAY 129
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 MAY  014/019
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 MAY  008/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 MAY-29 MAY  010/010-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 MAY a 29 MAY
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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