Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 256 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. FIVE C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE LARGEST A C8/SF FROM REGION
8333 (N12W83) AT 13/1825Z. THIS REGION, A 3-SPOT 'DAO' BETA GROUP AS
IT APPROACHES THE WEST LIMB, WAS ALSO THE SOURCE OF AN EARLIER C1/SF
EVENT. REGION 8329 (N14W60) PRODUCED A C3/SF EVENT AT 13/0907Z, AND
UNSPOTTED REGION 8326 (N21W53) GENERATED IT'S SECOND C1/SF EVENT
SINCE 2030Z YESTERDAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS,
WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS RECORDED AT HIGH
LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET, WITH ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 SEP a 16 SEP
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 SEP 131 Previsto 14 SEP-16 SEP 125/125/130 Media de 90 Días 13 SEP 126
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 SEP 009/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 SEP 007/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 SEP-16 SEP 005/009-005/009-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 SEP a 16 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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