Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 septiembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Sep 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 255 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 SEP 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. FOUR C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE LARGEST AN UNCORRELATED C3 AT
12/0753Z. REGIONS 8331 (N25E02) AND 8333 (N11W71) EACH GENERATED A
SINGLE C1/SF EVENT. REGION 8331 CONTINUES AS THE MOST COMPLEX ACTIVE
REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, AS A 25-SPOT 'EAI' BETA GROUP. REGION
8333, WHICH WAS THE SOURCE OF YESTERDAY'S M2/1B EVENT, IS CURRENTLY
A 5-SPOT 'DAO' BETA. NEW REGION 8335 (S22E68), A SMALL C-TYPE
GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, WITH
CONDITIONS DECREASING TO MOSTLY QUIET ON DAYS 2 AND 3.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 SEP a 15 SEP
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 SEP 135 Previsto 13 SEP-15 SEP 130/125/125 Media de 90 Días 12 SEP 125
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 SEP 005/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 SEP 012/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 SEP-15 SEP 010/009-005/009-005/009
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 SEP a 15 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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