Viendo archivo del sábado, 23 mayo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 May 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 143 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 MAY 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. HOWEVER, TWO NEW REGIONS,
8225 (S18E62) AND 8226 (N17W12) WERE ASSIGNED. REGION 8225 IS THE
SEEMINGLY BENIGN RETURN OF OLD ERUPTIVE REGION 8210. IT IS SIMPLE IN
WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA. IN CONTRAST, REGION 8226, BORN ON THE DISK
EARLY TODAY, HAS QUICKLY GROWN TO NOW SHOW PENUMBRA ON BOTH THE
LEADER AND TRAILER SPOTS. STRONG ARCH-FILAMENTS AND A MODEST AMOUNT
OF BRIGHT PLAGE ARE VISIBLE THERE. SOME SURGING WAS NOTED WITH THE
LIMB TRANSIT OF REGION 8222 (N24W77).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGION 8226 MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PRODUCE OCCASIONAL C-CLASS
FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT MIDDLE LATITUDES, AND
QUIET TO ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 MAY a 26 MAY
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 MAY 090 Previsto 24 MAY-26 MAY 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 23 MAY 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 MAY 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 MAY 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 MAY-26 MAY 010/015-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 MAY a 26 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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