Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 mayo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 May 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 144 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 MAY 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE C1 X-RAY FLARE
OCCURRED AT 0807Z, ASSOCIATED WITH EITHER REGION 8226 (N18W28) OR
REGION 8222 (N24W90). SURGING OCCURRED WITH THE LIMB TRANSIT OF 8222
MUCH OF THE DAY, INCLUDING A PARTICULARLY INTENSE OCCURRENCE NEAR
THE TIME OF THE X-RAY BURST. REGION 8226 CONTINUED TO GROW IN WHITE
LIGHT AND H-ALPHA, AND NOW NUMBERS APPROXIMATELY 20 SPOTS AND A
FIELD OF BRIGHT PLAGE. IT HAD A SF FLARE AT 0733Z, JUST PRIOR TO THE
C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT LOW LEVELS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE AT MIDDLE LATITUDES, AND
QUIET TO MINOR STORM AT HIGH LATITUDES. BRIEF SUBSTORMING OCCURRED
DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
SUBSTORMS MAY PERSIST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 MAY a 27 MAY
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 MAY 096 Previsto 25 MAY-27 MAY 100/100/105 Media de 90 Días 24 MAY 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 MAY 008/013 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 MAY 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 MAY-27 MAY 010/015-005/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 MAY a 27 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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