Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 mayo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 May 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 142 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 MAY 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. LITTLE OF SIGNIFICANCE
OCCURRED AS THE TWO ASSIGNED SPOTTED REGIONS, 8220 (S24W72) AND 8222
(N24W64) CONTINUED THEIR SLOW DECAY. THERE ARE PRELIMINARY REPORTS
OF SPOTS NEAR S18E74, MARKING THE RETURN OF OLD REGION 8210 (S17,
L-136). THAT REGION PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY (X-CLASS FLARES,
PROTON EVENTS) LAST ROTATION. ITS RETURN TO THE DISK WAS QUIET AND
UNEVENTFUL.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX
AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS AGAIN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 MAY a 25 MAY
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 MAY 087 Previsto 23 MAY-25 MAY 085/085/090 Media de 90 Días 22 MAY 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 MAY 14 (EST.)/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 MAY 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 MAY-25 MAY 010/010-010/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 MAY a 25 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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