Viendo archivo del domingo, 25 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 025 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SPOTLESS PLAGE AREA PRODUCED
A LONG-DURATION C1/SF FLARE AT 25/1512UT. THE FLARE SITE WAS NEAR
N21E25. AN ASSOCIATED, EASTWARD-DIRECTED CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS
OBSERVED DEPARTING THE EAST LIMB BEGINNING ABOUT 25/1500UT. REGION
8142 (S21W35) GREW SLIGHTLY AND PRODUCED A C-CLASS SUBFLARE LATE IN
THE PERIOD. REGION 8143 (S35E36) CONTINUED TO SLOWLY GROW IN SPOT
COUNT AND MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY, BUT PRODUCED NO FLARES. NEW REGION
8147 (S23E02) WAS NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGIONS 8142 AND 8143 ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE C-CLASS FLARES. THERE
IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN M-CLASS FLARE FROM REGION 8143.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET, BUT BECAME DISTURBED DURING 25/0400
- 0600UT WITH ACTIVE LEVELS DETECTED AT ALL LATITUDES. FIELD
ACTIVITY DECLINED TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED TOMORROW SUBSIDING TO MOSTLY QUIET
LEVELS FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 JAN a 28 JAN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 JAN 108 Previsto 26 JAN-28 JAN 106/108/110 Media de 90 Días 25 JAN 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 JAN 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 JAN 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 JAN-28 JAN 008/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 JAN a 28 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
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