Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 363 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8126 (N19E05)
PRODUCED A SUBFLARE AT 29/1218UT BUT HAS BEEN QUIET SINCE. REGION
8124 (S20W37) EXHIBITED SLIGHT DECAY BUT MAINTAINS MINOR MAGNETIC
COMPLEXITY. NEW REGIONS 8129 (N28E36) AND 8130 (S29E30) WERE
NUMBERED TODAY WITH 8130 QUICKLY DEVELOPING A 5 SPOT BXO GROUP. THE
REMAINING REGIONS HAVE BEEN VERY QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY LOW TO
LOW. BOTH REGIONS 8124 AND 8126 HAVE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED C-CLASS
FLARING. REGION 8130 IS DEVELOPING RATHER QUICKLY AND MAY SOON BE A
THREAT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. PERIODS
OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO THE PARTIAL HALO
CORONAL MASS EJECTION OBSERVED ON 26 DEC AND THE FAVORABLE
POSITIONING OF A WEAK CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 DEC a 01 JAN
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 DEC 104 Previsto 30 DEC-01 JAN 104/105/105 Media de 90 Días 29 DEC 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 DEC 001/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 DEC 002/002 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 DEC-01 JAN 010/005-015/013-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 DEC a 01 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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