Viendo archivo del martes, 30 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 364 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8124 (S22W55)
CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT SLOW DECAY AND STILL MAINTAINS MINOR MAGNETIC
COMPLEXITY. REGION 8130 (S29E16) IS GROWING BUT IS A RELATIVELY
SIMPLE SUNSPOT GROUP. BOTH REGIONS 8126 (N21W10) AND 8130
EXPERIENCED NUMEROUS INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS BUT HAVE BEEN
QUIET SINCE 1400Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY LOW TO
LOW. ALL THREE SPOTTED REGIONS HAVE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ISOLATED
C-CLASS FLARING.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS.
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT MOST MID AND LOW
LATITUDE STATIONS WHILE ACTIVE TO MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRED IN
THE HIGH LATITUDES. THE DISTURBANCE FOLLOWED A SUDDEN STORM
COMMENCEMENT AT 30/0215Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE WITH OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF
MINOR STORMING IN THE HIGH LATITUDES. THE FIELD IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MOSTLY UNSETTLED LATE IN THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 DEC a 02 JAN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 DEC 101 Previsto 31 DEC-02 JAN 102/102/098 Media de 90 Días 30 DEC 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 DEC 002/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 DEC 018/022 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 DEC-02 JAN 015/013-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 DEC a 02 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 01% |
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