Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 024 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. NO OPTICAL FLARES
WERE REPORTED. MINOR GROWTH OCCURRED IN REGIONS 8142 (S21W20) AND
8143 (S34E47). NEW REGIONS 8145 (N30E59) AND 8146 (N15E62) WERE
NUMBERED. BOTH WERE SMALL AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGION 8143 APPEARS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING C-CLASS
SUBFLARES, ESPECIALLY IF CURRENT GROWTH CONTINUES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
A SMALL GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE
IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR DURING 25 - 26 JANUARY IN RESPONSE TO A
PARTIAL-HALO CME OBSERVED EARLY 21 JANUARY. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE
PERIODS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR DURING THE DISTURBANCE. ISOLATED MINOR
STORM INTERVALS MAY OCCUR AS WELL. THE FIELD IS EXPECTED TO RETURN
TO MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS BY 27 JANUARY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 JAN a 27 JAN
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 JAN 098 Previsto 25 JAN-27 JAN 100/102/102 Media de 90 Días 24 JAN 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 JAN 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 JAN 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 JAN-27 JAN 010/010-008/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 JAN a 27 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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