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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jun 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 159 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jun 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 462 km/s at 08/0157Z. Total IMF reached 16 nT at 07/2258Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 08/1910Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 780 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (09 Jun) and quiet to active levels on days two and three (10 Jun, 11 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jun to 11 Jun
Class M25%25%25%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Jun 115
  Predicted   09 Jun-11 Jun 115/115/115
  90 Day Mean        08 Jun 152

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jun  015/ 020
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Jun  013/016
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun  018/022-010/012-011/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jun to 11 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active40%30%30%
Minor storm25%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm25%30%30%
Major-severe storm65%40%40%

All times in UTC

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