Viewing archive of Monday, 2 November 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Nov 02 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 413 km/s at 02/1922Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
02/0303Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
02/1850Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 603 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05
Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov to 05 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 082 Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 082/082/082 90 Day Mean 02 Nov 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 008/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov to 05 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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