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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Aug 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 222 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Aug 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (10 Aug, 11 Aug, 12 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 461 km/s at 09/1706Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2502 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (10 Aug, 11 Aug, 12 Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Aug to 12 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 Aug 074
  Predicted   10 Aug-12 Aug 075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        09 Aug 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 08 Aug  005/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 09 Aug  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Aug to 12 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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